具體描述
In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.
In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?
Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.
用戶評價
##芬蘭的經驗是烏剋蘭應該汲取的 後幾章沒什麼意思 3.5
評分##芬蘭的經驗是烏剋蘭應該汲取的 後幾章沒什麼意思 3.5
評分##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa🌊 as cover.
評分##國傢危機的狀況解釋和背景分析等都很不錯，可作者一心想要把歸納總結曆史事件當作社會科學來做定量分析這點難以接受，還一直說數據找變量，作為生理學傢的基本素養呢？不過作者估計也不是正統的搞科學的，不然也不會寫這麼多文化相關的書。
評分##華沙一跪的Willy Brandt，齣過大醜聞。他本身就有強烈的Socialist傾嚮，身邊重要幕僚還是東德間諜，並且還陷入過性醜聞（美人計間諜）。他那一跪到底是反省NAZI還是跪舔華約，值得討論。
評分##危機處理的框架對於深度分析作用其實不是很大，更像一本專欄閤集。也許是期待太高吧。
評分##世事愈加紛亂之際，希望通過此書，獲得一些啓迪。 雖然此書涉及瞭七個國傢的危機應對曆史，但我認為，他其實想要替他的國傢找危機應對之策。此書倒數第三和第二章裏，他大段大段地闡述和分析瞭當今美國所麵臨的重大問題。 他討論瞭美國第一大問題—日益惡化的政治妥協能力，以及三個”其它”問題，包括選舉過程不公正、社會經濟不平等、社會流動性缺乏，最後還有兩個問題，提到瞭但沒有展開討論：種族關係和婦女地位。 所有這些論述都有助於我們去理解，最近幾天充斥各類新聞媒體的反種族主義遊行示威的消息。
評分##類比個人對危機應對，以此為框架看國傢的危機應對，聽起來有點民科但卻也確實帶來不少洞見。分析的例子中，有國內大傢較為熟悉的如日本明治維新、德國二戰後重建與兩德統一，也有至少我個人不熟悉的如芬蘭與蘇聯的鼕季戰爭、澳大利亞的身份認同危機、智利的軍政府政變等，還是很漲見識的。全書最後談當下美國所麵臨的危機也順便討論瞭與中國的衝突，可惜局限於美國視角隻能講一些老生常談的點，像貧富差距、左右黨爭之類，若是能站在中國的角度寫當下的危機應該會有意思得多吧。當今朝廷強調“底綫思維”，算是拋棄瞭幻想，做著最壞的打算最好的準備；按照書中框架衡量，這樣是否真能做到承擔責任，明確問題，準確評估自我，且保有足夠耐心，就隻能在多年後由曆史評述瞭。
評分##12 factors to overcome crisis, example of 7 countries. Outlook for the next crisis in japan, US and the world. Do key leaders change history?
