In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.
In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?
Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.
##Very insightful book. Jared老爺子的書真的是沒話說,希望每個對現代史感興趣的人都讀一讀。前半部分掃盲,後半部分從新的角度分析國際問題,其中美中比較很有意思,關於展望世界的部分有些cliche,but still a great book in general! 另外,雖然老爺子在後記中提到自己數據和樣本的稀缺性,但整本書很多問題的解釋都是“according my friend”,難免讓人覺得難以信服(但人傢畢竟是Jared Diamond,他的朋友的可信度肯定是很大的…)唉,我要是在這個年齡也能看過世界變遷,往來無白丁,也算不枉走一遭瞭~
評分##應對危機的12個建議: 承認危機 接受解決危機的責任 確定危機的邊界 求助外界 藉鑒榜樣 自我力量/國傢凝聚力 誠實地自我評估 應對危機的經驗 耐心 靈活性 核心價值觀 個人約束/國傢地緣限製
評分##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa???? as cover.
評分##非常應景的一本書。一位80+睿智老者,結閤自身經曆、見聞和研究,娓娓道來國傢應如何應對危機。開篇以如何處理個人危機為例,講瞭危機處理的幾個步驟,很重要的一個點是:確立危機的邊界。不要一個方麵齣現問題,誤以為全綫崩潰。接著以作者孰知/會當地語言的六國近代史為例,各個國傢又是如何從國傢角度化解危機。比較熟悉的日本明治維新,不常讀到的芬蘭、智利、印尼三國的近現代史令人耳目一新。以及德國的自我審判、自我反思也很有意思,包括他們六十年代不成功的學生運動成功推動瞭原本爹氣十足的社會民主開明化。最後分析美國優勢和存在問題,如政治兩極化,預測其、日本和世界未來的危機會齣現在哪裏。還涉及到“偉人”能從多大程度影響曆史進程。未來的世界危機,除瞭常見的議題能源短缺、氣候變化、核危機、不平等...還有:傳染病
評分##few insights
評分##應對危機的12個建議: 承認危機 接受解決危機的責任 確定危機的邊界 求助外界 藉鑒榜樣 自我力量/國傢凝聚力 誠實地自我評估 應對危機的經驗 耐心 靈活性 核心價值觀 個人約束/國傢地緣限製
評分##12 factors to overcome crisis, example of 7 countries. Outlook for the next crisis in japan, US and the world. Do key leaders change history?
評分##芬蘭的經驗是烏剋蘭應該汲取的 後幾章沒什麼意思 3.5
評分##國傢危機的狀況解釋和背景分析等都很不錯,可作者一心想要把歸納總結曆史事件當作社會科學來做定量分析這點難以接受,還一直說數據找變量,作為生理學傢的基本素養呢?不過作者估計也不是正統的搞科學的,不然也不會寫這麼多文化相關的書。
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