In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.
In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?
Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.
##作者从个人应对危机的心理治疗方法中总结出12个与危机相关的因素,将其扩展到应对国家危机乃至全球危机上。本书的主题:个人、团体、企业、国家、乃至世界都有面临危机和压力的时候。危机可能来自外部,也可能来自内部。不管来自外部或内部都需要选择性地进行改变,对国家和个人来说都是如此。个人觉得本书在第八章后渐入佳境,分别讨论了日本,美国,和全球可以预见的危机问题。英文版中对中国的评价务实,中文版有删节。
评分##华沙一跪的Willy Brandt,出过大丑闻。他本身就有强烈的Socialist倾向,身边重要幕僚还是东德间谍,并且还陷入过性丑闻(美人计间谍)。他那一跪到底是反省NAZI还是跪舔华约,值得讨论。
评分##12 factors to overcome crisis, example of 7 countries. Outlook for the next crisis in japan, US and the world. Do key leaders change history?
评分##作者对中国的解读不知道是停留在哪个年代,难以认同,拿出的优劣对比之处早已发生改变。尤其”the biggest single disadvantage that will prevent China from ever catching up with the U.S. in average income per person—as long as the U.S. remains democratic and China remains non-democratic.” 不论哪种体制,最终还是得看最高决策人的水平;另,感谢美帝披着外衣的『民主』,不然不会有川某上台,天天给娱乐新闻加料。期待美帝将民主进行到底!
评分##芬兰的经验是乌克兰应该汲取的 后几章没什么意思 3.5
评分##12 factors to overcome crisis, example of 7 countries. Outlook for the next crisis in japan, US and the world. Do key leaders change history?
评分##这本书从个人的crisis出发,谈了国家层面的crisis,讲这个国家发生的历史,它的优势劣势,再按照factors related to the outcomes of national crises来谈论各个国家遇到的危机,我感觉历史的内容和很多角度都非常新颖。例如其中提到的geopolitical factor使得一些国家不可避免卷入争斗中。他对几个社会的问题的提出也很有总结性,我觉得Jared Diamond的书还是要边看边做笔记,因为信息量很大,而框架性又比较强,所以还是适合有笔记帮助自己理解这本书。这本书也是值得再读的。
评分##12 factors to overcome crisis, example of 7 countries. Outlook for the next crisis in japan, US and the world. Do key leaders change history?
评分##Very insightful book. Jared老爷子的书真的是没话说,希望每个对现代史感兴趣的人都读一读。前半部分扫盲,后半部分从新的角度分析国际问题,其中美中比较很有意思,关于展望世界的部分有些cliche,but still a great book in general! 另外,虽然老爷子在后记中提到自己数据和样本的稀缺性,但整本书很多问题的解释都是“according my friend”,难免让人觉得难以信服(但人家毕竟是Jared Diamond,他的朋友的可信度肯定是很大的…)唉,我要是在这个年龄也能看过世界变迁,往来无白丁,也算不枉走一遭了~