具体描述
基本信息
书名：Creating Megatrends：The Belt and Road
定价：68.00元
作者：Doris,Naisbitt,John,Naisbitt,Laurence ..
出版社：中华工商联合出版社
出版日期：2017-09-01
ISBN：9787515820675
字数：
页码：216
版次：1
装帧：精装
开本：16开
商品重量：0.4kg
编辑推荐
内容提要
China's Belt and Road Initiative is a project of unprecedented scale.
Neverthelcss， know[edge about the potitico[， ocoriomir nnd rcjltural goals and opportunities are Lagging behind.
Creating Megatrends presents the narrative of the chances and risks iChina's Belt and Road Initiative. Ithe past， Large shifts ieconomic. technological and social developments have resulted from trends and ideas beginning bottom up icities and Loca[ munities. finally forming a Megatrend. No one was icharge. China's Belt and Road Initiative goes the opposite way.
China's Initiative offers the strategic framework of reinventing globalization， orchestrated， but Leaving space to maneuver for all p.irticipants. The underlying principal is sharing： China's owexponce， its economic Succoss story of developing through investments iroad.rait and port works，and smart ec o[ogical citics. It is working with nations， involving advanced technologies， management experience. It is stabililing Volatile reqions and COuntrics by helping thcm to find their owapproach to progress and development.
Belt and Road Initiative is creating the infrastructure and connectivity needed to Link munities and create and Leverage oeconomic opportunities for state and private investment， entrepreneurs and workmen. At the same time， involving smart infrastructure， cleaenergy and ecological cities， the Initiative calls for protectioof environment and heritage as part of a cultural exchange.
These high set goals cannot be reach without creating a new and solid foundatioaside of the o[d BrettoWoods System. Belt and Road Initiative is developing a new model of global governance， a new financiaL architecture， new financial institutions and multilateral development banks.
More tha60 percent of the world's populatioimore thaa hundred nations are involved. Crpating Megatrends highlights the opportunities， challenges and risks th：s grand and experimontal project is facing.
目录
Introductioto a high potential project l
Chapter One IntroductioInto China's Belt and Road Initiative l
Thinking local acting global
Increase the quality of exports
Proceeding oever higher levels
Chapter Two B&R; ithe global context
The political aspect of B&R;
The econonuc reach of B&R;
At the crossroadl
China's changing image
Keeping the momentum of growth
Infrastructure works to assure market accessibility
Strategically shifting growth
China's B&R; risk considerations
Security through economic progress and hope
Chapter Three The Creatioof a Megatrend
Regional and intemational cooperatioinstead of confrontation
The Belt and Road： Visions and Question
Questio1： What does the Belt and Road stand for
Questio2： What are the historical roots of the Belt and Road
Questio3： What are the 2lst century routes of B&Rl;
The Belt and Road Initiative： Six Economic Corridors
Spanning Asia， Europe and Africa l
The six key routes：
The six strategic international economic co-operatiocorridors：
The six international economic co-operatiocorridors
1． The new Eurasia Land Bridge
2． The China-Mongolia-Russia Economic Corridor
3． China-Central Asia- West Asia Economic Corridor
4． China-Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor
5． China-PakistaEconomic Corridor
6． Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar Economic Corridor
China's role as a marine superpower
……
Chapter Four Questio5： What are the continents involved
Chapter Five Questio6： Which are the countries joining l
Chapter Six Questio7： How will the Belt and Road be funded
Chapter Eight Questio9： What are B&R; sector strategies
Chapter Nine Questio10： What are China's six domestic B&R; strategies
Chapter TeQuestio11： Will the yuabee a reserve currency
Chapter EleveB&R;'s Environmental Policy
Chapter Twelve GreeFinance ia GreeSilk Road
Chapter ThirteeRe-inventing Globalization
Silk Road Timeline
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
作者介绍
Doris Naisbitt， aobserver of global social, economic and political trends.Director of the Naisbitt China Institute. co-author of Global Game Change : Howthe Globat Southeraett Witt Reshape Our World IJanuary zoisL China'sMegatrends: Eight Pillars of a New Society, The China Model and InnovatioiChina.Iadditioto her research ofuture global developments Doris Naisbitt isdedicated to foster personal growth. Xinhua. the official press agency of Chinacalled her the 'global philosopher for China's youth'. Her personaL experiencethat one castart a successful career Later iLife has inspired audiences and encouraged people to reinvent their owLives.
How to make the most of your talents was the red Line of Ooris Naisbitt's biweekly columiChina Youth Daily, China's second Largest newspaper. Her columns were collectively published ithe book: How to Get Where You Want to Go. To bridge cultural differences betweeChina and the US and to find and build omogrounds is the story Line her book Mai-LiMy China.
Doris Naisbitt is guest professor at Beijing ForeigStudies University, she holds protessorships at prestfgious Nankai University and JiliUniversity, and at YunnaUniversity and Skolkovo OpeUniversity Moscow as well as a honorary Doctor of South Korea's Pukyong National University.
JohNaisbitt, author of the # 1 New York Times bestseller Megatrends, has beeithe Limelight of the publishing worLd ever since the book was published 1982. It remained othe New York Times bestsetler for almost two years, mostLy as number one. Megatrends was one of publishing's greatest success stories, selling more tha1t milliocopies i57 countries. The Watt Street Journal called JohNaisbitt's work 'triumphantly usefuL...taking bearings iall directions and giving us the courage to do the same.'
t-kgatrends was followed by internationaL bestsellers: Re-inventing the Corporatioi1 9as, Megatrands 2000 i1990. Megatrends for Wome1 991 . Global Paradox 1 992, Megatrends Asia 1995. High Tech High Touch, 1 999 and MindSet! i2006.
JohNaisbitt holds 21 honorary doctor degrees and protessorships from American, Chinese and RussiaUniversities and is honorary Doctor of South Korea's Pukyong National University.
Ihis early career JohNaisbitt was aexecutive at Kadak and IBM. At age 34 JohNaisbitt was appointed assistant secretary of educatioto President JohKennedy. After the president's assassinatiohe was appointed special assistant to President Lyndo_lohnson. Urged by the social and racial turbulences iAmerica's cities JohNaisbitt begato analyse social economic and political developments ithe US. which ted to publishing Megatrends i1982.
Doris and JohNaisbitt
After working together as publisher and author from 1995 to 2000, JohNaisbitt and Doris Naisbitt. his former GermaLanguage publisher, married i2000 and begatheir collaboratioas co-authors. They speak to audiences iAsia, LatiAmerica, Africa, Europe and the US, and have appeared omany televisioprograms, writtefor first-tier publications, and addressed numerous government and policymaking institutions.
Laurence J. Brahm， is ainternational crisis mediatiolawyer and developmental economist. He is founder of the HimalayaConsensus, a regionaL multi-stakeholder multi-lateral process dedicated to the preventioof conftict over water resources due to climate disruption.
Betwee2013-2015. as Senior Advisor to China's Ministry of Environmental Protectiohe was Lead drafter of 'EcologicaL Civilization-. China's 'greeprint' for renewable energy and water conservation. During this period he also served as advisor to Bhutan's National Environmental Commission. I2015 Iceland's President Olafur Ragnar Grimssoinvited him to serve othe HimaLaya - Third
Pole Circle, a panel forming poLicy responses to glacial melt caused by cLimate change. I2012 as NGO spokespersoto the United Nations Earth Summit 2012
IRio+20J, he was seLected by ScenaRio as one of the '100 OpinioLeaders Advising R1o+20'. I2010 he received the UNDP Award for Bio-Diversity and
CuLturaL ProtectioiChina presented by Jane Goodall. I2008 China Central Televisioselected him as the only foreigner among teindividuals recognized tor contributing to China's three decades of econamic reforms and opening.
As explorer and documentary film director, betwee2002-2009 he Led a series ofthree expeditions across the ainghai-Tibet pLateau searching for the mythical kingdom of Shangri-la, for which he was elected Fellow International of the New York ExpLorer's Club i2015. I2016, dubbed 'The Millennium Expedi-tions' by Three Shadows Photography Art Center, the 'Searching for Shangri-la' documentary series received the National Geographic Air and Water Conserva-tioAward for raising awareness of the glabal climate crisis.I2017. the School of International Journalism and Communicatian, Beijing ForeigStudies University, appointed him 'People-to-People Ambassador for Cultural Communications othe Belt and Road Initiative'.
文摘
《Creating Megatrends：The Belt and Road》：
Oa global scale China presents B&R; as part: of a 'democratizationof intemational relations' and the transitiofrom a westem dominatedeconomic and political framework to a multipolar economic and politicalorder iwhich China plays aadequate role at the core of global affairsand a leading role iemerging economies.
The Belt and Road (B&R;) will bee aengine for China'sgrowth, and it will feed the demand of developing neighbors andprovide infrastructure for the regions along its routes. The aim is tocreate aefficient, sustained road, rail and shipping work betweenChina, Asia, Europe, Africa, and, ithe longer-term extension, LatiAmerica. One goal is to shortethe time of bulk consumer goods' transports to Europe. It is expected to cut overland travel from Beijing to Londoto just two days, a trip that i2016 took 15 days.
Givethe prehensive impact of such ainitiative it is no surprise that it does not only face enthusiastic and positive but also critical and evehostile reactions. As we already wrote, it involves economic, political, and geopolitical considerations and strategies.
There are not only wide-ranging differences ipolitical systems, histories, cultures, religions and ideologies, but also different ideas and approaches ihow to deal with contemporary economic and social matters. Some countries along the different routes are iunstable political and/or economic conditions. The key to stability will be to operate oa modenominator that allows connecting and cooperating as well as keeping enough space to pay attentioto autonomous needs. While China without doubt is the initiator and
driver of B&R;, its affirmatioto create partnerships opar with all
countries involved will help to calm dowskepticism and create trust.
According to the World Trade Organizatio(WTO), the total amount of merchandise traded globally i2015 reached $16.5 trillion.
What will be the impact of the new trading routes, which will embrace 62.55 percent of the world's populatioand 28.6 percent of the world's GDP This is a questiothat the govemments and businesses of all countries will need to answer ithe near future, because this new trade route is being built, and it will usher ia new world trade order,all at a time wheglobal trade has slowed from the 7 percent annual growth it reached prior to the 2008 financial crisis, to 1.5 percent i2015 and 2016.
Looking back at three decades of South and North East Asia economic development, the share of manufacturing iGDP rose above 25 percent iSouth East Asia and 30 percent iNorth East Asia. Ithe tail of the rapid gTowth of manufacturing, the employment rate and productivity rose, as well.
At the same time, improvements were made ithe skills of workers, by better training of management and the expertise and efforts of increasingly global thinking entrepreneurs. But despite all the achievements, export-processing trade has declined. China's total exports fell to minus 1.8 i2015 and minus 2 percent i2016 (GACC, General Administratio of Customs of China) .
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序言
用户评价
一本新书的问世总是令人兴奋，尤其是当它触及了当前全球政治经济舞台上最引人注目的议题时。这本书的标题，"Creating Megatrends: The Belt and Road"，立刻抓住了我的眼球。它似乎承诺着一种深刻的洞察，一种对未来趋势如何被塑造的解读。我对此书的期待，不仅仅是关于“一带一路”倡议本身的描述，更在于它如何被“创造”出来，以及它将如何成为一种“巨型趋势”。“巨型趋势”这个词本身就蕴含着巨大的力量和变革，它暗示着我们即将阅读的内容，可能不仅仅是关于一个区域性的发展项目，而是关于一场可能重塑全球格局的运动。我想象着书中会探讨那些推动“一带一路”从一个概念走向现实的驱动力，是经济的，还是地缘政治的？是深思熟虑的战略，还是历史机遇的产物？我很期待书中能深入分析“一带一路”所蕴含的宏大叙事，它在多大程度上代表着一种新的全球治理模式，或者是在现有秩序下的某种调整。这本书或许能帮助我们理解，在信息爆炸、瞬息万变的时代，如何辨别和把握那些真正具有长远影响的“巨型趋势”，以及它们是如何在幕后被精心编织和推动的。它或许还能提供一个观察视角，让我们看到，一些看似地方性的倡议，是如何通过其内在的逻辑和外部的合力，最终演变成影响全球的重大事件。我渴望从中找到一些关于宏观叙事建构和力量汇聚的答案。
评分我一直对那些能够提供全新视角，挑战既有认知的书籍情有独钟。当我在书店里看到《Creating Megatrends: The Belt and Road》时，一种直觉告诉我，这可能就是这样一本能够满足我求知欲的书。标题中的“Creating”一词尤其吸引我，它暗示着这本书并非仅仅是对“一带一路”倡议现状的描绘，而是对其背后更深层次的形成机制和战略意图的剖析。我设想着，作者可能是一位对国际关系、地缘经济学有着深刻理解的学者或观察家，他/她能够穿透表象，揭示出“一带一路”是如何从一个设想，一步步演变成如今影响深远的全球性项目。我特别好奇的是，书中会如何探讨“巨型趋势”的形成过程。这种趋势的产生，是必然的，还是偶然的？是单方面的力量推动，还是多方博弈的结果？我期待书中能够深入分析“一带一路”在推动全球化新阶段扮演的角色，它是否正在重新定义全球贸易、投资和互联互通的规则？它对发展中国家意味着什么？对传统强国又意味着什么？我希望这本书能够提供一些批判性的思考，让我们不仅仅是接受“一带一路”所呈现的面貌，而是能够理解其背后复杂的利益纠葛、战略考量以及可能的长期后果。我期待这本书能激发我对于全球化进程本质的更深入思考，以及对于未来世界格局演变的洞察。
评分对于任何一个关心世界发展脉络的人来说，“一带一路”倡议无疑是一个绕不开的话题。然而，许多关于它的讨论往往停留在表层，缺乏对深层动因和未来走向的深入探究。正是基于这样的背景，一本名为《Creating Megatrends: The Belt and Road》的书籍，犹如一道曙光，照亮了我对这个议题的求知之路。我之所以如此期待这本书，是因为它似乎承诺着一种超越寻常的解读。“Creating Megatrends”这个标题，便充满了力量感和前瞻性。它暗示着，这本书将不仅仅是关于“一带一路”本身，更是关于“一带一路”如何被“创造”出来，以及它如何演变成一种不可忽视的“巨型趋势”。我迫切地想知道，究竟是什么样的力量，什么样的理念，什么样的战略规划，能够将一个区域性的倡议，提升到“巨型趋势”的高度？这本书是否会深入探讨“一带一路”背后的宏观经济逻辑，例如全球资源配置的再优化、新兴市场的发展机遇，抑或是对传统地缘政治格局的挑战？我希望它能为我打开一扇窗，让我看到，一个宏大的愿景是如何通过一系列周密的布局和持续的行动，最终在全球舞台上留下深刻的印记。我期待书中能够提供一些深刻的见解，帮助我理解，在当今这个快速变化的时代，我们如何才能更清晰地认识和把握那些正在形成中的、具有颠覆性力量的“巨型趋势”。
评分作为一个对国际政治经济学有着浓厚兴趣的读者，我总是在寻找那些能够提供深刻洞见、启发思考的书籍。《Creating Megatrends: The Belt and Road》这个书名，瞬间就吸引了我的注意，因为它触及了我一直以来所关注的两个核心要素：趋势的形成以及“一带一路”这一具体议题。我希望这本书能超越简单的新闻报道或政策解读，深入挖掘“巨型趋势”是如何被“创造”出来的。在我看来，“趋势”的形成并非自然而然，而是多种因素交织作用的结果，而“创造”一词则暗示着某种主动的、有意识的构建过程。我好奇的是，作者是如何解析“一带一路”这一复杂的倡议，使其成为一个“巨型趋势”的？它背后是否存在某种深远的战略设计？书中是否会探讨“一带一路”对全球经济秩序、地缘政治格局以及国际合作模式可能带来的长远影响？我期待这本书能够提供一种全新的分析框架，让我能够理解，如何识别和评估那些可能重塑未来世界的重大发展动向。它或许能够解答我心中关于“一带一路”的诸多疑问，例如它在多大程度上代表着一种新的全球化模式，它将如何影响不同国家和地区的经济发展，以及它是否会引发新的全球性挑战。我希望这本书能够给我带来耳目一新的认知，并激发我进一步思考全球未来发展的方向。
评分我始终相信，理解世界最有效的方式之一，就是去探究那些正在塑造我们未来的宏大叙事。《Creating Megatrends: The Belt and Road》这个书名，就精准地捕捉到了我的这种好奇心。它预示着，这本书将不仅仅是关于一个地理区域或一个具体的国家战略，而是关于一种更广泛、更深远的影响力——“巨型趋势”的形成。我之所以对它充满期待，是因为“Creating Megatrends”这个词组本身就极具吸引力。它表明，这本书将探讨的，不是趋势的被动发生，而是其主动的“创造”过程。我渴望从中了解，究竟是什么样的力量，什么样的策略，使得“一带一路”倡议能够脱颖而出，并被定义为一种能够改变世界格局的“巨型趋势”。这本书是否会深入剖析“一带一路”背后所蕴含的宏观经济逻辑，例如全球产能过剩的消化、资源分配的再平衡，或是新兴市场的发展动能？它是否会探讨，在多极化和全球化交织的时代背景下，“一带一路”如何成为连接不同区域、促进共同发展的强大引擎？我期待这本书能够提供一个独特的视角，让我能够超越表面的新闻报道，去洞察那些驱动全球变革的深层力量，并理解“巨型趋势”是如何在复杂的国际环境中被孕育、发展并最终成型的。这本书无疑是我希望获得的，关于理解全球化新时代脉络的一把钥匙。
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