發表於2025-05-23
The Fifth Risk pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載
Michael Lewis is the best-selling author of Liar’s Poker, Moneyball, The Blind Side, The Big Short, and The Undoing Project. He lives in Berkeley, California, with his wife and three children.
What are the consequences if the people given control over our government have no idea how it works?
"The election happened," remembers Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall, then deputy secretary of the Department of Energy. "And then there was radio silence." Across all departments, similar stories were playing out: Trump appointees were few and far between; those that did show up were shockingly uninformed about the functions of their new workplace. Some even threw away the briefing books that had been prepared for them.
Michael Lewis’s brilliant narrative takes us into the engine rooms of a government under attack by its own leaders. In Agriculture the funding of vital programs like food stamps and school lunches is being slashed. The Commerce Department may not have enough staff to conduct the 2020 Census properly. Over at Energy, where international nuclear risk is managed, it’s not clear there will be enough inspectors to track and locate black market uranium before terrorists do.
Willful ignorance plays a role in these looming disasters. If your ambition is to maximize short-term gains without regard to the long-term cost, you are better off not knowing those costs. If you want to preserve your personal immunity to the hard problems, it’s better never to really understand those problems. There is upside to ignorance, and downside to knowledge. Knowledge makes life messier. It makes it a bit more difficult for a person who wishes to shrink the world to a worldview.
If there are dangerous fools in this book, there are also heroes, unsung, of course. They are the linchpins of the system―those public servants whose knowledge, dedication, and proactivity keep the machinery running. Michael Lewis finds them, and he asks them what keeps them up at night.
##有點散的流水賬,中心思想不過是it's the risks that we fail to imagine that get us killed,扯上特朗普豈不是格局小瞭?
評分 評分##美國政治角力的本質,往往不是驢象之爭,而是逐利和逐夢者之爭。作者寫到農業部的時候開始陷入瞭一種固定範式:高效部門被架空、優秀團隊被罷黜、有益項目被取締,Trump與Obama和Bush政權相比有諸多不妥。但是循規蹈矩其實未必穩妥,異於前任未必倒退,我反而覺得Trump團隊最大的過錯在於錶象溝通時的傲慢和冷漠。一切問題都會透過溝通暴露,溝通不當,一切便都是問題。讀完全書,最精華的論點在DOE一章最後,守序的邪惡與無知是第五類風險的本源,要比大眾視野下的混亂善意可怕的多:犧牲長期利益,而試圖通過program management填補短期的漏洞,這纔是一個政治體製倒退的深層原因。
評分##US government is a giant organization that is misunderstood by most of Americans.
評分##可讀性很強 作為美國行政體係的頂端,總統和白宮的運作細節在全世界範圍內都不缺少關注者,但擁有200多萬雇員的聯邦政府究竟如何具體管理國傢,真正瞭解的人或許比較少。非虛構類暢銷書作傢Michael Lewis 的新書《第五項風險》(The Fifth Risk)以特朗普時期的能源部、農業部和商務部為樣本...
評分 評分有點敷衍。去年Michael Lewis在名利場上寫過兩篇文章Why the Scariest Nuclear Threat May Be Coming from Inside the White House & Inside Trump's Cruel Campaign Against the U.S.D.A.'s Scientists,這兩篇關於能源部和農業部的文章覆蓋瞭本書2/3的內容。
評分##可讀性很強 作為美國行政體係的頂端,總統和白宮的運作細節在全世界範圍內都不缺少關注者,但擁有200多萬雇員的聯邦政府究竟如何具體管理國傢,真正瞭解的人或許比較少。非虛構類暢銷書作傢Michael Lewis 的新書《第五項風險》(The Fifth Risk)以特朗普時期的能源部、農業部和商務部為樣本...
評分##作者例證瞭現代政府諸多關鍵職能都要求相當的科學專業素養,不僅是為瞭破除新自由主義鼓吹的小政府主義迷思,喚起民眾對政府工作的關注,更是為瞭嚮世人發齣警告,當利益團體打著意識形態的旗號綁架政府,罔顧科學而謀取私利時,將對民主社會帶來怎樣嚴重而長久的危害。本書成書於川普贏得競選之際,作者隻能對政府交接時新政權的混亂和短視憂心忡忡,當然還不知道即將到來的疫情黑天鵝,這就不禁讓人好奇他現今看到美帝新冠死亡人數接近1M會作何感想。結果一搜發現人傢果然又寫瞭一本《The Premonition: A Pandemic Story》專門聊這事。
The Fifth Risk pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載