具体描述
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
用户评价
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评分##宏大的史观和抽丝剥茧后鞭辟入里的总结，非常值得一读。
评分##宏大的史观和抽丝剥茧后鞭辟入里的总结，非常值得一读。
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评分##达利欧 "原则"系列的另一著作，格局非常宏大的一本书。 作者通过研究过去十几个世纪，主要着重笔墨在过去500年的荷兰帝国、大英帝国、现今的美国、以及快速崛起的中国的历史，用不同的维度指标来衡量帝国的兴衰。比如科技教育、货币资本市场、阶级对立、国内外政治环境等等来分析。个人基本赞同他的观点，只不过后面还有很多变数，大到他的计算机模型还是需要做很多调整。 作者在最后还给出了一些人生意见: whatever success I've had has been more due to my knowing how to deal with what I don't know than anything I know. 未雨绸缪总是没错。 全书读起来像和一位智者对话，和他的《原则》一样受益匪
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