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編輯推薦

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書

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推薦的書籍，值得一看一讀。

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活動入的，性價比好高，包裝完好，送貨快，值

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不錯，無時無刻都要有危機，所有的事都可能發生

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物美價廉，物流也很快。不錯。

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孩子非常喜歡，孩子非常喜歡。

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不錯，無時無刻都要有危機，所有的事都可能發生

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一本不錯的書，值得推薦，紙質好，正版！

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快看完瞭，怎麼說呢，這本書的思想值得思考，但是內容嘛，有點亂。像那種隨手筆記的感覺，可能和翻譯有點關係，或者外國人的說方式有點不同吧。

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