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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

内容简介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩书评

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 电子书 下载 mobi epub pdf txt

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什么都好，就是书有污垢，白色的书，脏了。心情不好了。。

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看不懂，求挺好。

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翻译水平太差，太差太差太差太差太差太差太差

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公司集中采购图书，质量各方面都还可以，看职工反响如何。

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这不是新书吧，里面居然还有苍蝇尸体，是为了跟黑天鹅匹配的吗？

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思维决策预测，值得阅读

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好评。速度挺快的，物流服务还是一如既往的好。

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思维决策预测，值得阅读

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很好

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