发表于2025-01-15
Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载
Ray Dalio is the founder and cochairman of Bridgewater Associates, which, over the last forty years, has become the largest and best performing hedge fund in the world. Dalio has appeared on the Time 100 list of the most influential people in the world as well as the Bloomberg Markets list of the 50 most influential people. He is the author of Principles, Big Debt Crisis, and Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. He lives with his family in Connecticut.
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
##说三点读后感吧,1达利欧这般大佬,谈问题如此平实诚恳,没有装聪明或者神神秘秘,非常难得。2作者建立了一个挺丰富的分析框架,捡重点来说,最重要的就是三个周期,债务周期,内部政治周期(一系列指标,最主要是贫富差距),外部周期(和其他大国的相对实力消长),结论来说...
评分##不知是有意还是无意,本书的封面已经在事实上透露了本书所讨论的内核,即周期。经济周期理论长期来看一直处于一个微妙的位置。回望传统的经济周期理论,无论凯恩斯、希克斯、熊彼特亦或康德拉季耶夫,每一个人都可谓一方巨擘。但是反过来在经济实践中,似乎又很少用到经济周期...
评分 评分 评分 评分 评分[感谢朋友的讨论,我回复了一些,并把其中的一些重要内容增补进来。] Dalio的历史学是简单直白的,很容易让人(特别是中国人)接受:大国崛起,兴衰交替。虽然他在一些地方也给自己留了一些台阶,说历史有不确定性,但整体给人的印象就是一种历史主义的,偏向决定论的看法。这...
评分##说三点读后感吧,1达利欧这般大佬,谈问题如此平实诚恳,没有装聪明或者神神秘秘,非常难得。2作者建立了一个挺丰富的分析框架,捡重点来说,最重要的就是三个周期,债务周期,内部政治周期(一系列指标,最主要是贫富差距),外部周期(和其他大国的相对实力消长),结论来说...
评分##历史的pattern如此显而易见,然而许多人像喂了100天的鸡一样看不见。大变局正在发生
Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载