具体描述
Ray Dalio is the founder and cochairman of Bridgewater Associates, which, over the last forty years, has become the largest and best performing hedge fund in the world. Dalio has appeared on the Time 100 list of the most influential people in the world as well as the Bloomberg Markets list of the 50 most influential people. He is the author of Principles, Big Debt Crisis, and Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. He lives with his family in Connecticut.
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
用户评价
##大时代儿女必读书目。非常清晰有价值的体系，让我可以把之前一直在纠结理清的宏观微观政治经济历史的规律与偶然，趋势与变化一股脑都扔进去。
评分 评分##大历史角度写的国家和市场变迁，印象最深的有两条：如果20世纪初投资美英中法俄日荷意法奥10个国家的股债现金大类资产，其中7个国家的投资会清零（有些还不止一次）；作者篇尾预测中美未来十年军事冲突的可能是35%。。。
评分 评分##达利欧 "原则"系列的另一著作，格局非常宏大的一本书。 作者通过研究过去十几个世纪，主要着重笔墨在过去500年的荷兰帝国、大英帝国、现今的美国、以及快速崛起的中国的历史，用不同的维度指标来衡量帝国的兴衰。比如科技教育、货币资本市场、阶级对立、国内外政治环境等等来分析。个人基本赞同他的观点，只不过后面还有很多变数，大到他的计算机模型还是需要做很多调整。 作者在最后还给出了一些人生意见: whatever success I've had has been more due to my knowing how to deal with what I don't know than anything I know. 未雨绸缪总是没错。 全书读起来像和一位智者对话，和他的《原则》一样受益匪
评分##概括起来：中国称霸世界指日可待，概率最大
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