From a prizewinning economic historian, an eye-opening reinterpretation of the 2008 economic crisis (and its ten-year aftermath) as a global event that directly led to the shockwaves being felt around the world today.
In September 2008 President George Bush could still describe the financial crisis as an incident local to Wall Street. In fact it was a dramatic caesura of global significance that spiraled around the world, from the financial markets of the UK and Europe to the factories and dockyards of Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America, forcing a rearrangement of global governance. In the United States and Europe, it caused a fundamental reconsideration of capitalist democracy, eventually leading to the war in the Ukraine, the chaos of Greece, Brexit, and Trump.
It was the greatest crisis to have struck Western societies since the end of the Cold War, but was it inevitable? And is it over? Crashed is a dramatic new narrative resting on original themes: the haphazard nature of economic development and the erratic path of debt around the world; the unseen way individual countries and regions are linked together in deeply unequal relationships through financial interdependence, investment, politics, and force; the ways the financial crisis interacted with the spectacular rise of social media, the crisis of middle-class America, the rise of China, and global struggles over fossil fuels.
Finally, Tooze asks, given this history, what now are the prospects for a liberal, stable, and coherent world order?
世界是圆的。这本书真的有点东西的,从70年代抵押贷款,两房给贷款模式埋下的毁灭性危险,到08年雷曼时刻,再到希腊债务、爱尔兰破产、欧元区国国自危,民粹主义抬头、东欧和俄罗斯的局部斗争,还有特朗普给美国带来的撕裂,全都连贯呈现出来了,而且很清晰的展现出了互相之间的影响和掣肘。100年过去了,一战时提出的问题到现在还是相似的模板,真的想问这一百年到底进步到哪了。
评分##4.5.对事件的梳理可以更精炼,对政治经济的分析与批判可以更深入,但作为一部总结性的后金融危机全球史其整理与启发作用是巨大的。
评分##看起来有点吃力,细节有点多。全面回顾2008年到18年十年的经济政治变局。美国受次级债的影响,第一波全球危机,美联储及财政部联手提供流动性,暂时稳定经济。在此阶段危机中华尔街,美国金融机构受创严重,但欧洲金融金融机构受创也很严重,主要是大规模借美元贷美元,承受比美国金融机构更大的压力。随着美国经济的萎缩,带来欧洲各国经济的萎缩,特别是东欧各国,欧洲银行深度介入东欧各国,经济的崩溃,带来欧洲金融机构的二次大危机。快十年的财政收缩及经济低迷带来了保护主义,经济危机后十年美国更不均衡的财富分配,受损的白人蓝领推选了特朗普,世界进入一个大变局时代,柏林墙后将近二三十年的和平与全球化红利将可能消失。
评分##慢腾腾的看完了,本想了解一下金融危机,发现是一本史诗级的现代史著作。
评分##4.5.对事件的梳理可以更精炼,对政治经济的分析与批判可以更深入,但作为一部总结性的后金融危机全球史其整理与启发作用是巨大的。
评分##想给作者寄本the elements of style
评分##对我来说还是有点难读。过去二十年中国嵌入世界经济体系,真正脱钩是很难的。中美关系绝非仅仅是对抗,frienemy 也许更准确。如遇大危机,中美除了合作别无其它可能。高通胀使得美国不可能摆脱中国,外贸为主的结构也让中国无法脱钩世界。
评分##Coming up with an outline in the next few days
评分##Read Intro, and chapters 1, 6, 7, 10. Not a big fan of 2008 financial crisis though. Chris
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