內容簡介
Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.
This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.
The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.
However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.
Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.
作者簡介
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. He has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part researcher, part no-nonsense businessman, he spent eighteen years as a mathematical trader, and was the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Taleb lives mostly in New York.
Fooled by Randomness[隨機緻富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書
評分
☆☆☆☆☆
搞活動買的,價格優惠,慢慢讀。
評分
☆☆☆☆☆
質優價廉,包裝嚴密,快遞小哥也不錯哦!
評分
☆☆☆☆☆
第二次購買瞭,快遞物流沒得說
評分
☆☆☆☆☆
名著!慢慢品讀!好好學習天天嚮上!
評分
☆☆☆☆☆
紙質有些粗糙,比不上MarketPlace Books齣版社的那些精裝書
評分
☆☆☆☆☆
曆史1個月13天,終於到手瞭 可能需要工具書來消化這本書瞭 不知道會看多長時間
評分
☆☆☆☆☆
收到,應該是正品的,李笑來老師推薦的,無論如何要把這本書肯下來
評分
☆☆☆☆☆
非常贊,中文版的剛閱讀完瞭,不解渴。原版自己體會纔是精髓。
評分
☆☆☆☆☆
收到,應該是正品的,李笑來老師推薦的,無論如何要把這本書肯下來